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Нил Фуллер: анализ текущей ситуации
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Суббота, 19.04.2014, 10:17 | Сообщение # 61 |
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| GBPUSD Bullish Trend Continues, 18th April 2014
The GBPUSD moved higher early in Thursday’s session as the bullish momentum from the April 15th pin bar continued, breaking up above that key 1.6820 resistance and hitting a high of 1.6841 before reversing gains into the NY close and forming a small bearish pin bar. This pin bar is counter-trend, and after the recent strong surge higher we don’t like trading against the trend at this point and instead see any counter-trend movement as a potential buying opportunity. Traders can watch for price action buy signals from the 8 / 21 day EMA dynamic support layer or support down near 1.6700 – 1.6655 for buying opportunities if the market retraces next week.
Быть добру!
Сообщение отредактировал Бизон - Суббота, 19.04.2014, 10:18 |
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Суббота, 19.04.2014, 10:20 | Сообщение # 62 |
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| DAX Trading Range, 18th April 2014
The DAX (German Stock Index) has pushed higher the last two trading days after testing key support at the bottom of its recent trading range just above 9075.00 on Tuesday of this week. In our April 10th commentary, we discussed the potential for the market to test this support following the sell-off that started from the bearish tailed reversal bar which formed at the key resistance of the trading range back on April 4th. We can continue to look to ‘trade the range’ in this market by watching for a price action sell signal up near 9630.00 / 9715.00 key resistance to trade back down toward support.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 21.04.2014, 14:37 | Сообщение # 63 |
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| Weekly Forex Market Price Action Outlook – April 21st – 25th 2014
EURUSD – consolidating just above support
The EURUSD didn’t move much on Friday due to the Easter holiday, but on Thursday it ended basically unchanged again after paring almost all its gains into the NY close and forming a pin bar, for the second day in a row. The problem with these pin bars that formed Thursday and Wednesday last week, is that they are in consolidation and not sticking out / protruding from the surrounding PA or at a resistance level, so they are really not very good sell signals. Still, they are showing rejection of higher prices and could potentially lead to a move lower. But given support is just below near 1.3800 and then 1.3700, and recent momentum has been more bullish than bearish, any move lower would be seen as a potential buying opportunity at this point. Overall, this market is clearly choppy right now so it’s best to sit on our hands for now until the market gives us clearer PA clues as to what it may do next.
Быть добру!
Сообщение отредактировал Бизон - Понедельник, 21.04.2014, 14:41 |
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 21.04.2014, 14:40 | Сообщение # 64 |
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| GBPUSD – bullish trend intact
The GBPUSD moved higher early in Thursday’s session as the bullish momentum from the pin bar we discussed in our April 15th commentary continued, breaking up above that key 1.6820 resistance and hitting a high of 1.6841 before reversing gains into the NY close and forming a small bearish pin bar. This pin bar is counter-trend, and after the recent strong surge higher we don’t like trading against the trend at this point and instead see any counter-trend movement as a potential buying opportunity. Traders can watch for price action buy signals from the 8 / 21 day EMA dynamic support layer or support down near 1.6700 – 1.6655 for buying opportunities if the market retraces lower this week.
Быть добру!
Сообщение отредактировал Бизон - Понедельник, 21.04.2014, 14:42 |
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 21.04.2014, 14:43 | Сообщение # 65 |
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| NZDUSD – approaching key support
The NZDUSD lost ground last Thursday, for the third day in a row. We can see the market is working its way down toward key support near 0.8510. This week, we can watch for price action buy signals down near this support to trade back in-line with the bullish trend from value / support.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 21.04.2014, 14:46 | Сообщение # 66 |
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| AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar retracing toward value area
The AUDUSD has retraced lower since hitting a high of 0.9460 on April 10th following the push higher from the inside bar setup we discussed in our April 8th commentary. Overall, the bullish trend is still intact, and we can watch for price action buy signals from support / value to trade in-line with this uptrend. The key value / support area to watch this week is coming in down below near 0.9300 – 0.9200, if the market falls down into that area we will watch for price action buying opportunities.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 23.04.2014, 16:30 | Сообщение # 67 |
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| EURUSD and GBPUSD Price Action Update, 22nd April 2014
EURUSD – Euro/dollar stays buoyant above short-term support
The EURUSD gained back modest ground today and ended the day higher after paring early-session losses. Note the market closed back above the short-term support near 1.3785 – 1.3800 that we discussed in this week’s weekly price action outlook. If the market can get its legs here, we could see it start pushing higher again, however, for the near-term we expect more consolidation / sideways price movement on the daily chart, as we can see this market has been quite choppy as of late.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 23.04.2014, 16:31 | Сообщение # 68 |
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| GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar bullish trend continues plowing upwards
The GBPUSD ended today with a modest gain as the bullish trend continues. Clearly, the trend is pretty strong here, so we just need to have patience and look for price action buying opportunities on any retraces back to near-term support at the 8 / 21 day EMA layer or at horizontal levels of support to rejoin the uptrend from value.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Четверг, 24.04.2014, 08:16 | Сообщение # 69 |
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| AUDUSD Retrace Continues, Dow Jones Nearing All-time Highs, 23rd April 2014
AUDUSD – continues to retrace
The AUDUSD fell significantly lower today as the current downward retrace continued, causing us to shift the support / value are we discussed in our weekly outlook a little lower. The market is approaching a key area of support down between 0.9205 and 0.9135 area. If price moves down into this support area we can watch for 4 hour or daily chart price action buy signals to rejoin the broader uptrend. Also, this support area includes the 50% retrace of the up move from the pin bar on March 12th to the high at 0.9460 on April 10th, so clearly it’s a confluent support area to keep our eye on for buying opportunities.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Четверг, 24.04.2014, 08:19 | Сообщение # 70 |
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| Dow – Dow Jones approaching key resistance
The Dow Jones futures market is approaching key resistance up near 16,500 – 16,572.50 area which has contained this market since early January and is also the all-time highs. Watch the price action closely at this resistance for signs of failure / false-break / rejection, as a daily chart sell signal could be a good selling opportunity from here to trade back down toward the trading range support near 15,975. However, if the bullish momentum persists and the market closes above this resistance, we could obviously then see higher prices continue.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Пятница, 25.04.2014, 09:04 | Сообщение # 71 |
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| Gold Fakey Buy Signal at Support, 24th April 2014
The spot Gold market formed a bullish fakey signal today following the inside bar that formed yesterday just above key support near $1277.00. If the market remains above $1277.00 on a closing basis, we could see a move higher in the coming days, perhaps up to re-test the next resistance area near $1320.00 / $1330.00. We could see a retrace back toward that $1277.00 area and the 50% level of today’s false-break bar before the market pushes higher, which would potentially lead to a better trade entry and risk / reward on this setup.
Быть добру!
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