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Нил Фуллер: анализ текущей ситуации
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Пятница, 21.03.2014, 16:32 | Сообщение # 16 |
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Суббота, 22.03.2014, 08:43 | Сообщение # 17 |
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| Dow Jones Index Contained Below Key Resistance, 21st March 2014
The Dow Jones futures market showed some rejection of higher prices today and formed a bearish pin bar after it pared all its early-session gains. This pin bar is not exactly protruding out from the surrounding price action as we would like to see, but the market has recently rotated down from key resistance up near 16,500 area and we could see more bearish momentum in the coming days as long as the market stays contained under that 16,500 key resistance area. The next support is seen down near 15975, but beyond that there is little support until down near 15,275. Note: If you want to access Dow Jones Futures charts or trade this market, you can do this on our preferred trading platform here.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 24.03.2014, 15:21 | Сообщение # 18 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 24th – 28th 2014
EURUSD – Euro/dollar near-term momentum turns bearish
The EURUSD consolidated on Friday and formed an inside bar in what was a pretty quiet trading day following significant losses on Wednesday and Thursday. The near-term price action in this market is clearly favoring the bears, and we could see more losses in the coming days if the bears remain in control. If we get an obvious price action sell signal from resistance this week, we would consider a short entry to rejoin the recent bearish momentum and trade down toward support.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 24.03.2014, 15:24 | Сообщение # 19 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 24th – 28th 2014
GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar bearish momentum continues
In our March 19th commentary, we talked about the dynamics in the GBPUSD changing from bullish to bearish recently and the potential for more losses in the coming days. We can see the market continued falling lower on Friday and that next key support level is not coming in until down near 1.6300 – 1.6250 area. If this market retraces up toward that key 1.6580 level and the 8 /21 day EMA layer this week, we will be watching for price action sell signals on the 1 hour, 4 hour or daily chart time frame to rejoin this fresh downtrend from resistance.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 24.03.2014, 15:26 | Сообщение # 20 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 24th – 28th 2014
AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar remains in trading range but grinding higher
The AUDUSD was unable to sustain itself above the key resistance near 0.9135 last week, rotating significantly lower from that resistance on Wednesday. However, the market did gain back modest ground on Friday, but is still trading in the middle of its recent trading range between 0.9135 – 0.8890. We still like the long side in this market but prefer to wait for a buy signal from further down near key support at 0.8925 – 0.8890 area or following a break and close above that key resistance at 0.9135.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 24.03.2014, 15:28 | Сообщение # 21 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 24th – 28th 2014
Gold – Gold retraces after big push higher
Gold rotated significantly lower last week following the strong bullish run it experienced starting from the end of December. The market found some support at $1320.00 on Thursday and bounced slightly higher on Friday. If price holds above this near-term support at $1320.00 this week, we could see it continue higher in-line with the recent bullish trend. However, if we break and close below $1320.00 we could see a larger move lower with the next support not seen until $1270.00 area.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 26.03.2014, 07:24 | Сообщение # 22 |
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| AUDUSD Bullish Run Continues, 25th March 2014
The AUDUSD pushed higher on Monday and Tuesday, breaking and closing above that key resistance near 0.9135 that we discussed in recent commentaries and gaining significant ground since the pin bar buy signal we discussed in our March 12th commentary. There’s clearly a bullish trend in place here on the daily chart, so we prefer to continue trading in-line with this trend by looking for price action buy signals from value / support. We will be watching for a 1 hour, 4 hour or daily chart buy signal from the 8 / 21 day EMA dynamic support layer this week if the market retraces back to that area.
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Сообщение отредактировал Бизон - Среда, 26.03.2014, 07:25 |
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 26.03.2014, 07:27 | Сообщение # 23 |
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| Gold Weakens, 25th March 2014
Gold has broken decisively below the near-term support at $1320.00 that we discussed in this week’s weekly forex chart analysis. Bearish momentum as clearly taken hold in this market now, as reflected by the 8 and 21 day EMAs recently crossing lower. We can watch for price action sell signals in the near-term on retraces back to that EMA resistance layer. The next major support levels are not seen until down near $1270.00 and further below near $1180.00 area.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Четверг, 27.03.2014, 08:04 | Сообщение # 24 |
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| EURUSD Daily and 4 Hour Pin Bar Buy Signal, 26th March 2014
Yesterday, in our members’ area, we discussed the EURUSD pin bar buy signal that formed showing rejection of the key support area near 1.3740 – 1.3765 and that the ‘optimal’ entry for this pin bar would be a ‘tweaked’ 50% entry given its long tail and where it formed. Today, EURUSD rotated down to just beyond the 50% level of yesterday’s pin bar, providing for a ‘trade entry trick’ on the pin bar. If the market remains above the low of yesterday’s pin bar we could see it push higher in the coming days. There was also a nice 4 hour bullish pin bar that formed from the same 1.3740 – 1.3765 key support area as the daily pin bar yesterday.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Пятница, 28.03.2014, 07:53 | Сообщение # 25 |
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| EURUSD Update, 27th March 2014
The EURUSD weakened again today, falling down below the low of Tuesday’s pin bar by about 20 pips. There’s still a (small) chance this trade could work out, if you had entered near the 1.3760 support area that we discussed in our members’ area yesterday on the retrace ‘tweak’ entry, you’d still be in the trade most likely. However, the 8 / 21 day EMAs have crossed lower today and price did close below that near-term support area between 1.3740 – 1.3765, so we have to be realistic here and consider that the market could continue falling lower over the coming days if price cannot make a strong push higher in the next 24 hours.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Пятница, 28.03.2014, 07:58 | Сообщение # 26 |
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| Gold Bearish Momentum Continues, 27th March 2014
The spot Gold market lost more ground today as the sell off continues. As we’ve discussed in recent commentaries, we are looking for a price action sell signal after a retrace up to resistance, but we haven’t gotten one yet. We will keep an eye on that 8 / 21 day EMA layer and $1320.00 level for a sell signal if the market retraces back up to it soon.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Суббота, 29.03.2014, 10:12 | Сообщение # 27 |
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| AUDUSD Stalls After Strong Bullish Move, 28th March 2014
The AUDUSD has pushed significantly higher from the pin bar buy signal that we first discussed back in our March 12th commentary. Today, a counter-trend bearish pin bar formed, indicating that this recent bullish leg may be running out of steam. However, we are still bullish on this market because we can see an uptrend is still clearly in place. Next week, we will wait and see if the market retraces back to value / support, where we will look for price action buying opportunities to trade back in-line with the bullish trend.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 31.03.2014, 14:47 | Сообщение # 28 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 31st – April 4th 2014
EURUSD – Euro/dollar recoups losses on Friday but bearish pressure remains
The EURUSD fell lower early in Friday’s session but recouped all losses into the day’s close to end with a small gain. We can see the market has bounced off some support down near 1.3700, showing rejection of lower prices. However, there is resistance not far overhead, near the 8 / 21 day EMAs that have just crossed lower then up near 1.3845- 1.3875, so any move higher this week could be limited and we can watch for price action sell signals up near those resistance levels.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 31.03.2014, 14:49 | Сообщение # 29 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 31st – April 4th 2014
GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar pushes back up to resistance
The GBPUSD continued higher on Friday but ended the day just below the near-term resistance up near 1.6650 area. Near-term momentum certainly has been bullish the last five days, but we could see the market rotate lower, toward 1.6460 support before it pushes higher again. Key resistance is seen up near 1.6785 – 1.6820 area.
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 31.03.2014, 14:51 | Сообщение # 30 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 31st – April 4th 2014
AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar stalls on Friday, looking for buy signals from support
Over the last two and a half weeks, the AUDUSD has pushed significantly higher from the pin bar signal that we first discussed back in our March 12th commentary. On Friday, we can see that a bearish counter-trend pin bar formed, indicating that a retrace back to support / value might be coming soon. However, we are still bullish on this market because we can see an uptrend is still clearly in place. This week, we will wait and see if the market retraces back to value / support, where we will look for price action buying opportunities to trade back in-line with the bullish trend.
Быть добру!
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