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Нил Фуллер: анализ текущей ситуации
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Суббота, 15.03.2014, 19:55 | Сообщение # 1 |
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| GBPUSD Holds Above Support, 14th March 2014
On Thursday, the GBPUSD surged significantly higher from the 4 hour pin bar buy signal and daily chart bullish tailed bar that we discussed in our March 12th commentary, but the market gave back almost all its gains into the close on Thursday in what was a volatile trading session. However, as we discussed in yesterday’s members’ commentary, the bar that formed yesterday was not a good ‘pin bar sell signal’ because the daily trend is still bullish overall (we want to trade with the trend in most cases), and the bar was not sticking out or protruding from any key resistance (see the resistance is higher, near 1.6800 area), it was really just in consolidation, plus there’s key support just below near 1.6580 (you don’t typically want to sell into key support). Today, the market remained bullish and showed rejection of an early attempt to move lower, easily holding above key 1.6580 support. As long as the market keeps holding above 1.6580 on a closing basis we remain bullish biased on this market.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 17.03.2014, 16:08 | Сообщение # 2 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 17th – 21st 2014
EURUSD – Euro/dollar bullish trend continues
The EURUSD remained buoyant on Friday as the market continued pushing higher and ended the day and week up above key resistance near 1.3893. Plenty of traders tried picking the top of this recent up move as price hit key 1.3893 and stalled earlier last week. However, to trade counter-trend we really need a ‘perfect’ signal at the key level, and we didn’t really get it here. This goes to show that fighting a strong trend is usually a bad idea and it’s best to look for price action signals in-line with the dominant daily chart trend.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 17.03.2014, 16:11 | Сообщение # 3 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 17th – 21st 2014
GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar stays above key 1.6580 support
On Thursday, the GBPUSD surged significantly higher from the 4 hour pin bar buy signal and daily chart bullish tailed bar that we discussed in our March 12th commentary, but the market gave back almost all its gains into the close on Thursday in what was a volatile trading session. However, on Friday, the market remained bullish and showed rejection of an early attempt to move lower, easily holding above key 1.6580 support. As long as the market keeps holding above 1.6580 on a closing basis we remain bullish biased on this market.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 17.03.2014, 16:14 | Сообщение # 4 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 17th – 21st 2014
AUDUSD – Aussie/dollar remains buoyant following pin bar buy signal
The AUDUSD remained unchanged on Friday following Thursday’s surge higher after the pin bar buy signal that we discussed in our March 12th commentary. This week, we expect to see this market remain in the range between about 0.8890 – 0.9130 in the first half of the week and we remain more bullish biased whilst the market is trading above 0.8890 – 0.8923 support area.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Понедельник, 17.03.2014, 16:17 | Сообщение # 5 |
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| Weekly Forex Chart Analysis – March 17th – 21st 2014
USDJPY – Dollar/yen moves back to key support
The USDJPY sold-off the last four trading days and ended Friday just above the key support zone between 101.20 – 100.75. This market is clearly in a large trading range now with lower boundary of the range at 100.75 and the upper boundary at 103.75. If price forms some bullish price action near this key 101.20 – 100.75 support zone early this week, we could see the market remain within this trading range this week and possibly stage a rally back up toward key resistance. However, if price closes below 100.75 support it would open up the potential for more losses.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 19.03.2014, 15:54 | Сообщение # 6 |
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| EURUSD Inside Pin Bar Setup, 18th March 2014
The EURUSD has remained buoyant recently, even in the face of stiff resistance near 1.3893. The market has now closed above this level the last three days and today it formed an inside pin bar signal, indicating that the market is consolidating yet still remaining buoyant. If price remains buoyant over the next 24 hours we could see it break up and out from today’s inside bar setup and extend the uptrend. However, if the market retraces lower from here we will look for price action buy signals from support further below, perhaps down near the 21 day EMA.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 19.03.2014, 15:56 | Сообщение # 7 |
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Сообщение отредактировал Бизон - Среда, 19.03.2014, 16:01 |
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Среда, 19.03.2014, 15:57 | Сообщение # 8 |
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| AUDUSD Continues Higher, 18th March 2014
The AUDUSD pushed significantly higher the last two days as the bullish momentum continued following the pin bar buy signal that we discussed in our March 12th commentary. Many of our members traded this pin bar signal and are now either up a solid profit or out with a nice 1:2 risk reward gain. We remain bullish biased on this market and will continue watching for price action buy signals following retraces back to value / support to continue trading in-line with this bullish trend.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Четверг, 20.03.2014, 09:09 | Сообщение # 9 |
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EURUSD Sells Off, 19th March 2014
The EURUSD rotated significantly lower today in what was quite a strong sell-off. We can see that the inside pin bar setup we discussed in yesterday’s commentary would not have triggered a long entry because price did not break above the mother bar high. We would still consider a buy signal from support if one forms, but after today’s large down move we wouldn’t be surprised to see the market fall lower over the coming days before it moves significantly higher again. If the market breaks down below the 21 day EMA support level in the next 24 hours we could see today’s bearish momentum continue.
Быть добру!
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| andrewsam Offline | Дата: Четверг, 20.03.2014, 09:10 | Сообщение # 10 |
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| Бизон, мы смогли прочитать только картинку 
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Четверг, 20.03.2014, 09:13 | Сообщение # 11 |
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| GBPUSD Closes Below Support, 19th March 2014
The GBPUSD lost ground today after rejecting an intra-day push higher and ending the day lower, below key 1.6580 level that we’ve discussed in recent commentaries. From here, it appears the dynamics are changing from bullish to bearish, at least for the near-term, and we could see more losses in the coming days with the next key support not seen until down near 1.6300.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Четверг, 20.03.2014, 09:15 | Сообщение # 12 |
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| Цитата andrewsam (  ) Бизон, мы смогли прочитать только картинку
Ты о каком сообщении?
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Пятница, 21.03.2014, 07:23 | Сообщение # 13 |
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| GBPUSD and GBPJPY Bears In Control, 20th March 2014
GBPUSD – Sterling/dollar continues falling lower
In our March 19th commentary from yesterday, we talked about the dynamics in the GBPUSD changing from bullish to bearish recently and the potential for more losses in the coming days. Today, we can see the market continued falling lower and we can see that next key support level is not coming in until down near 1.6300 – 1.6250 area. If the this market retraces up toward that key 1.6580 level and the 8 /21 day EMA layer, we will be watching for price action sell signals on the 1 hour, 4 hour or daily chart time frame to rejoin this fresh downtrend from resistance.
Быть добру!
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| Бизон Offline | Дата: Пятница, 21.03.2014, 07:25 | Сообщение # 14 |
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| GBPJPY – Sterling/yen weakness persists
The GBPJPY has weakened over the last couple of weeks and we can see bearish momentum has taken hold. Note the 8 / 21 day EMAs have recently crossed lower, reflecting this bearish momentum. Today, the market tried to rally but hit resistance at that dynamic EMA layer between the 8 / 21 day EMAs and reversed early session gains to end the day lower. If this market continues to weaken, we could see it test 167.75 near-term support, and if it breaks below that level there isn’t much support until the key level down near 163.87. Thus, for the near-term, we can watch for price action sell signals on retraces back to resistance in the 8 / 21 day EMA layer to trade in-line with the recent bearish momentum in this market.
Быть добру!
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| andrewsam Offline | Дата: Пятница, 21.03.2014, 14:49 | Сообщение # 15 |
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| Цитата Бизон ( ) Ты о каком сообщении?
Да обо всех. У меня в советской школе была четверка по английскому. Поэтому я читать могу, но нихера не понимаю 
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